By Christian Lowe Jan. 6, 2009
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia sharply cut gas flows to Europe via Ukraine on Tuesday in a dramatic worsening of a pricing dispute with Kiev that threatened to disrupt supplies as far west as Italy and Germany.
The escalation in the price dispute and severe cold weather drove the British gas market, Europe's biggest and most liquid, to its highest level since October.
Officials from the Eruropean Union, which is dependent on Russia for a quarter of its gas, met both sides in the dispute on Tuesday and the bloc urges them to find a solution this week.
The Czech Republic, which holds the EU's rotating presidency, said it was considering the "extreme option" of a three-way EU-Russia-Ukraine summit.
"The only solution is to get straight to the negotiating table," Czech Industry Minister Martin Riman said after talks with Alexander Medvedev, the deputy CEO of Russian gas export monopoly Gazprom.
"The Russian side... is ready for this step. We are too and I expect the Ukranian side, after the talks in Kiev, is also ready," said Riman after meeting Medvedev in Berlin. Earlier in the day he met Ukrainian officials in Kiev.
The head of Ukraine's state energy firm said he would fly to Moscow on Thursday.
Russia and Ukraine blame each other for the crises, which has struck at the height of the European winter and spread alarm across the continent.
EU members Austria and Romania said deliveries were down 90 percent and 75 percent respectively, and German energy firms said there could be gas shortages in Europe's biggest economy if the dispute dragged on and sub-zero temperatures persisted.
"Even our possibilities will reach their limits if these drastic cuts in shipments last and if temperatures continue to stay at very low levels," E.ON Ruhrgas Chief Executive Bernhard Reutersberg said.
Hungary, Bulgaria, Turkey, Macedonia, Greece and Croatia said Russian gas flows via Ukraine had halted, creating what Bulgaria called a "crisis situation" in the middle of winter.
An Italian source close to the matter said Gazprom would only be able to guarantee less than 20 percent of the expected gas supplies to Italy on Tuesday, and the industry ministry said Rome planned to increase gas imports from alternative suppliers.
France said supplies had plunged 70 percent although its economy is less vulnerable than Germany and Italy as 80 percent of its electricity is produced by nuclear energy.
BLAME GAME
Day-ahead baseload gas touched a session high of 73 pence on the dispute and by late trade was 7.75 pence, or 12.76 percent higher, on the day at 68.50 pence per therm.
Gazprom said it supplied 65 million cubic meters (mcm) to Europe on Tuesday through ex-Soviet neighbor Ukraine, a fall of 78 percent from the 300 mcm it had been shipping since the dispute erupted on January 1.
"According to the latest information, Ukraine is stealing about 15 percent of the gas that moves to the Russian-Ukraine border," Gazprom Chief Executive Alexei Miller told Russian Prime Minister Vladmir Putin.
Gazprom had previously accused Ukraine of shutting down three Russian export pipelines early on Tuesday and said it was a hostage of Kiev's "irresponsible behavior." It said it would try to use alterntive delivery routes to avoid a crisis.
Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko said Moscow would continue cutting gas supplies to Europe or stop them altogether and the government ordered regional utilities to start using fuel oil instead of gas.
Neighboring Slovakia will declare a state of emergency, Czech news agency CTK reported. Poland cut gas supplies to industrial clients, while Serbia and Bosnia said Russian supplies had completely stopped.
JAN. 1 CUT
The dispute threatens to worsen Russia's ties with the West, already fraught after its war with Georgia last year.
Europe's heavy dependence on Russian energy - and vulnerability to supply disruption - was highlighted when Moscow reduced volumes to Ukraine on New Year's Day after failing to reach agreement with Kiev over gas prices.
But most bigger EU countries say they have large amounts of gas stockpiled after several mild winters and have access to supplies from sources such as Norway and Algeria.
"If there are significant drops in supplies to the European Union, the key question is whether it goes on for a very long time. But it would have to go on for weeks or months for serious problems to arise for Western European customers," said Simon Blakey, director of European research at Cambridge Energy Research Associates.
Russia and Ukraine have clashed repeatedly on a range of other issues, particularly the ambition of Ukraine's pro-Western leaders to join NATO.
The disruption comes at a bad time for Europe, which is experiencing a cold snap likely to drive up gas demand.
"We are in a crisis situation," Bulgaria's Economy Ministry said in a statement. State firm Bulgargaz told industrial users it was suspending or cutting supplies to a minimum and urged them to switch to alterntive fuels like oil. Two fertilizer companies had to halt production.
Worries about European gas supplies, coupled with Israel's military operation in Gaza, have pushed oil prices up to a three-week high close to $50 a barrel. Russia, whose main export is oil, stands to benefit from a recovery in prices.
Autograph
Seems to me like Russia needs to be looking at their own backyard instead of worrying about the US....
1He said, she said. The Russians are such cry babies. Basically its the new cold war and everyone will freeze.
2***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
This illustrates the problem with depending on other countries for necessary products.
Darn Russians!
It makes me feel anxious just reading this.
3My husband was just telling me about this.
It happens every. single. winter. by the way.
Russia wants to charge Ukraine twice what they charge Europe for gas. Ukraine says no. Russia says we'll cut it off. Ukraine says well then you can't transport gas thru our country to Europe. Everyone stomps their feet and waves their fingers.
What is that called?
Oh yes, a vicious circle.
4you should post this in conservative sugar.
5sy, how?
6right next to the date, your name etc. under the title of this post there should be a link that says "edit" click it.
Scroll down till you see a link that says "Groups and Privacy" Click on it. There will be a drop down list with all the groups you belong to listed. Click on "Conservative Sugar."
Press submit.
7Yea, learned something new! Thanks!
8
Great job!
9What is that called?
Oh yes, a vicious circle.
It's also called a hissy fit
10hissy fit is very appropriate.
11It was predicted, and predictable, that Russia was going to use the natural gas dependency to sway European users, to tow the "soviet line" on all things political. They promised cheap and reliable delivery of natural gas, got Europe hooked on it, and now are flexing their muscle. I think their timing is bad, because the crude oil prices have dropped so dramatically. It will be interesting to see how all this plays out. This was the reason that Russia wanted control of Georgia by the way, it is an alternative route for Russia to move it's energy product to market, bypassing the Ukraine when necessary (necessary in Russian eyes)
12Just talked to my mil and she said gas is off in Ukraine. So if you have a gas stove you can't cook. If you have a gas water heater you can't have hot water, and if your city uses gas to heat, you'll have a cold radiator.
Oh, and it's -19C there.
13Russia wants to rebuild the USSR and this is one way to get what they want. The EU is a bunch f spineless wussies and will cave so their tea does not get cold.
14***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
For all the grief we deal with here, I'm still happy to be living in the good ol' US of A where the temp does not get down to -19C. I can't even imagine.
15If Europe was smart, (I can dream can't I?), they would bite the bullet, and boycott all exports from Russia. The Russian economy is in shambles right now. Russia would be forced to reform, their citizens can only take so much hardship, before they revolt against the current maniacal, corrupt, Putin Regime.
16The Russians are tough people and besides Putin and his henchmen (VKR) won't let them revolt. He shoot them first. He has been busy, like someone else here in this country, indoctrinating the young to his view.
17***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
indoctrinating the young to his view
It didn't work on hubby!
Yeah if you guys want to talk financial "crisis" then go to Ukraine. You can't withdraw money from banks, they have crazy inflation, you can't convert to dollars. No Gas. It's a real mess. Everyone is getting laid off.
Here in the U.S. our crisis means going without a latte and getting a drip coffee instead, there it means going without heat, a hot shower and hot meal.
18Sy, glad it did not work on hubby. The indoctrination there was recent- Putin started "youth camps" ala Hiltler a year or so ago. Saw the videos from them - really creepy.
19***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
I think it is too late for Putin to succeed in brainwashing. There are too many windows into the West, for the public to be fooled forever. How long do you think Russian soldiers would go out and shoot down fellow Russians?
20Gramps the video had teens singing his praises and their utmost devotion to the mother land. I first thought it was a modern woodstock when I saw all the tents but then it panned up to the banners hanging from the trees with Putin's image. There were all in the woods and being interviewed at how Putin was like their ...
21wait for it.....
...................
....................
Messiah!
***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
Well with a state-run media, unless you have a youth who is already particularly interested in the West, the youth will continue to see what Putin wants them to.
22True Sy. They have a tendency to kill the press that doesn't tow the perogi.
23***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
And probably literally, Sam. I haven't seen the videos, but thinking about them makes me cringe. I don't think anyone beforehand would have thought that the SS Nazi's could have done what they did, either. It is too bad that EU can't (won't?) stand up to Russia. They're like the bully on the playground that everyone caves in to.
24"You can't withdraw money from banks, they have crazy inflation, you can't convert to dollars. No Gas. It's a real mess."
Sounds like Houston after Ike had his way with us. No electricity, so no ATM's or charge cards, no food, no water, no gas. No law enforcement (or rather, not enough). Fortunately, it was temporary, not a way of life.
25Sounds like N.O. area after Katrina too!
But, yes, not a way of life. Could you imagine? Your life savings in a bank in a currency that, for all you know, could be worthless by the end of the year, and you can't withdraw it or even convert it to dollars or euros??
26Remember now, you are looking at a propaganda film, extoling the virtues of Putin.Kremlin opponents Garry Kasparov, Mikhail Kasyanov, Dmitry Rogozin, and Eduard Limonov, generally have not adjusted to the current rules of the game by uniting their efforts, transcending past identities, and reducing associations with discredited figures. The Russian opposition should have learnt at least three lessons from Ukraine’s Orange Revolution in 2004. The first of these is unity. The second is the need to reinvent your image, and not just by rebranding, although orange was a good choice at the time, warm and positive, a help in rallying neutrals. In the Ukrainian case the key task for the opposition was to transcend the politics of cultural nationalism. Once they can unite, and things are bad enough, you will see “an Orange” revolution, I am sure.
27Actually the video was an investigative piece by a western news agency. It was not flattering just creepy and reminiscent of the brown shirts.
28***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
Also gramps, after the orange revolution in 04 --- it's back to the same old business these days, sadly, in Ukraine. Infighting, splitting of pro-West groups, and overall corruption.
29Sy is that Ukraine you are talking about or Congress?
30***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
ha! you can't tell can you?
31"The EU is a bunch f spineless wussies and will cave so their tea does not get cold."
Is the US going to have to go in here too and clean up this mess? Maybe we should become an isolationist nation, and let the rest of the world go to h3ll in a socialist handbasket. Oh wait, it would still be our fault.
32Syako, Which do you think the Ukrainians prefer, the current flawed system and independence, or Soviet style domination?
33My two cents (which is probably worth less than that) says the current flawed system and independence. Isn't that obvious, or am I being naieve?
34Depends where you live. If you're in the Eastern Ukraine you want Russia and you don't even know how to speak or read the ukrainian language.
If you're in the West you're still holding out hope for this 'democracy' but you're losing faith very quickly
35Very depressing, syako.
36It is. And all the really smart and talented ones come to America. And then marry me.
Hehe.
But truthfully, the good ones leave and don't come back.
37sy, that proves how smart they are!! (if they marry you!)
38
39syako, you know polyandry is illegal in this country. I suggest you go through your collection of really smart and talented men you married, and settle on just one. Now make sure you let the rest down easy.
40You caught me gramps! I've been hoarding them quietly in my basement.
41Syako, there are a number of single women here, maybe you can start auctioning them off, one by one.
42ROFL Sy - that is a scary, creepy image you left me with lol.
I won't even pretend to know or understand what it must be like over there in the Ukraine. I can only say that it must be so hard for Bogdan and you to know that people he loves (and you) are still over there. Prayers for you all.
43Thanks Kim!
Sorry for the scary image!
44Where is Global Warming when you need it!
45Its on Citizen sugar with all their hot air rantings and
46***************
"Enjoy life, it's ungrateful not to." - Ronald Reagan
Sy, if you auction off all those young men you'll have enough money to stimulate the US economy by yourself.
47And on the latest Bush post....!! Whew!
48I wonder how long it will take before we read somewhere, that thanks to BO, global warming is no longer a problem.
49Hmmm. G'pa, I think Al will have a problem with BO taking his credit....
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